predictions and results

Well, my predictions were right and wrong. While my numbers were off - way off - my totals were only 10 off.

As of the current count, Hillary is only 10 delegates closer to Obama (1451 for Obama to 1365 for Clinton).

What does this mean?
1. Hillary has to woo more delegates than Obama in the coming states.
2. Hillary has to spend more money in the coming states - a tie, like in yesterday's contests, is a loss.
3. There are 1,207 delegates in remaining races. To lock up the nomination before the convention (August, but the last delegates are allocated in June), she needs to receive (Assuming Superdelegates stay as currently pledged). Hillary needs to receive 54% of those unpledged delegates. It's certainly do-able. Obama needs to receive 47% of the unpledged delegates. Just looking at that math, if the remainder of the races "average out" to a virtual tie, then Obama will be the nominee in August.

Now, since there are fewer big states, and more space between, each candidate can really make their case state by state. They also have time to regroup, assess their campaign, and strategize. While Obama has a convincing lead, and last night certainly wasn't a win, the campaign is virtually 'wide open'.


I've been thinking about my multimedia project. Which political or economic concepts are people out there most confused about - or simply want to know more about? I'm thinking my format will just be 3-4 minute videos quickly explaining a concept or idea and relating it to historical or current economic and political situations. Any ideas???